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The promise of ADSL
Ims readily admits though, that ADSL seems to be the way of the future, at least in the minds of the conference
delegates. "To me it seems as though ADSL is pretty much on the minds of the delegates. And that shouldn't
be news to anybody. It should be obvious, if you know this area, that is what's going to happen in the next few
years."
He considers the debate over which technology to go with is pretty much over. It's "decided by what you have
in the way of existing natural resources and your existing position," he explained. "What is your target
market and who are your competitors. As long as you look at that, you limit the number of technologies possible,
at least on a higher level. As far as I see it the choices are quite obvious.
"For P&Os with existing twisted pair, it would be ADSL in the first instance and fiber and VDSL possibly
in the next instance. But the
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P&O also have the alternative to scrap the whole copper network within the next ten years and move to fiber
and radio."
He explained that regardless of what some of the conference speakers and others say about the new technologies
providing cheap high-speed access, it will not be. "I think the basic thing is, no matter what the operators
are thinking about, even if it's cable or incumbent operators, or new ones, the access will cost very much, independent
of technology, independent of which operator you're on."
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